Tuesday, January 19, 2010

One Team to Watch in 2010

One of the noisiest teams this off season has been the Seattle Mariners. Second year GM Jack Zduriencik has made several big deals that have lead many to suggest that Seattle is one of the teams to watch in 2010. Moneyballers have also been singing the praises of “Big Z”, calling him one of the best general managers in the game and many are picking Seattle as this year’s AL West favorites. Now there is NO ONE that wants to see Junior make it to the big dance in what is probably his last season more than I do, but I am a little more cautious about the 2010 Mariners.

Make no mistake about it, Jack Zduriencik is trying to build the Mariners around speed, pitching and defense, and this year’s major offseason acquisitions (Chone Figgins, Cliff Lee and Casey Kotchman) highlight this. Given that Safeco Field is bigger than Jay Leno’s chin (I’m with Coco) you can’t fault Z for building his team this way, but the fact is that even teams built on pitching and D need power threats, something that Seattle doesn’t appear to have. Last season’s two biggest power threats Russell Branyan and Adrian Beltre are gone, inheriting the middle of the line-up is Jose Lopez, Franklin Gutierrez and Milton Bradley - not exactly a murderer’s row. Gutierrez and Lopez are good hitters with power, but are they really number 3 or 4 hitters on a playoff team? We also need to remember that if someone sneezes in Bradley’s vicinity he may take it as a personal attack against him (or an act of racism) and become totally useless to the team. Even someone as likable as Ken Griffey may not be able to keep Mad Milton happy for 8 months. Assuming that Big Griff doesn’t put up his 1993 numbers, this leaves the M’s lacking a bona fide power threat in the middle of their order

The Mariners have other concerns as well. While Seattle’s pitching is appeared to be much improved with the addition of Cliff Lee, the Mariners will be without Jarred Washburn and Brendan Morrow, big contributors to last year’s staff. While Lee improves the staff, the loss of these two pitchers needs to be considered, which makes the staff only marginally better at best. Also troubling is last year’s run differential of -52 which suggests that the 85 wins the team accumulated are not entirely reflective of the team’s performance – the M’s may have enjoyed more than their fair share of lucky bounces. Catching is another major issue. Can anyone name a catcher on their 40 man roster?

Yes, the Angels are significantly worse than they were last year and Oakland is still at least a couple years away, but this Mariners team may not be as good as advertised. The 2007 M’s were a team built on pitching and defence on the cusp of a breakthrough. That off season they made the acquisitions necessary (Erik Bedard and Carlos Silva) to put them over the top. On top of their 100 loss season the next year, Seattle fans get to see Adam Jones rake in Baltimore as a reminder of their misplaced optimism. For Junior’s sake let’s hope that 2010 isn’t a little piece of history repeating.

Friday, December 11, 2009

Halladay Trade Talks

It’s that special time of year where the amount of gossip in baseball could rival any high school cafeteria, which leaves anyone with an opinion on baseball with plenty to write about. These days most of this baseball gossip is centered on the only starting pitcher on the Blue Jays that didn’t pitch in AAA ball last year; Roy Halladay. New Jay’s GM Alex Anthopoulos has once again made Roy available and unlike JP Riccardi in July, he is not asking for every player that his trading partner signed in the 2007 draft. Depending on which MLB tabloid you read, either the Yankees, Phillies, or Angels are the frontrunners to land Roy, with the Red Sox, Mets and Rays also kicking the tires on a potential trade. People are also split on whether or not Roy would require a contract extension before a trade could be negotiated or if he would veto a trade to any west coast teams or non-contenders.


While the Yankees dealt away Austin Jackson to land Curtis Granderson, they still have the players to make a deal (pitchers Camberlin and Hughes, as well as catching prospect Jesus Montero). The Angels have also potentially offered Erick Aybar, Joe Saunders and a prospect, and the Phillies have offered a package centered on JA Happ. While some are suggesting the Yankees have the best chance at landing Doc, if I were the Jays I would be cautious of Yankee trade proposals. One reason I am skeptical is that the Yankees were unwilling to move either Chamberlin or Hughes in a trade for Johan Santana two years ago and are now willing to part with them. Did the Yankee hype machine turn both pitchers into franchise prospects, when now they look more like merely solid major league pitchers? (Admittedly, the verdict is still out). On top of this, the Yankees only seem willing to give up either Joba Chamberlin or Phil Hughes and not both. Let’s also not forget that party animal Joba Chamberlin could become entirely useless once he gets a taste for Canadian beer. There are also holes in the game of another potential trade centerpiece, catching prospect Jesus Montero. While he has the potential to be a great hitter, he has many scouts believing that he won’t be able to stick as a catcher in the major leagues, which greatly diminishes his value. Assuming that a contract extension does not need to be negotiated and that Halladay would not veto any potential trades, from the Jays perspective it appears as though the Angels would be the best trading partner. The players LA is offering are young, affordable, major league proven and still under club control. Why roll the dice on Yankee prospects, when you can get proven players from LA? There is also talk that the Jays could then even flip Joe Saunders for more prospects if they so desired.


This also keeps Doc out of the AL East.
Like July, one thing that has me confounded is why Boston isn’t making a stronger push for Doc. Josh Beckett is a year away from free agency, Tim Wakefield is a year away from being 50, and there are questions about how Dice-K will pitch this year. On top of this Roy is a certified Yankee killer, and would change the complexion of the AL East race. And I’m sure what’s most pressing to Red Sox fans is that if Boston doesn’t go after Roy and he ends up with New York, their rotation would be scary good. If I’m the Bosox, Doc is definitely worth giving up Clay Bucholtz. Wherever and whenever Roy gets dealt, let’s hope by that time that Scott Boras has generated enough smack talk to keep the rest of the winter interesting.

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

World Series Wrap Up – A Biased Review from a Yankee Hater

First World Series victory since 2000? Don’t care. A-Rod finally overcoming his postseason demons? Don’t care. Good for baseball to have Yanks in World Series? Don’t care. Whatever positives come with the Yankees winning the World Series are moot points, to me they should never ever win anything. Here is why they shouldn’t have won this year.


Starting pitching – since when can a team with three starters win the World Series? No other team has even advanced to the World Series using three starters since the 1992 Atlanta Braves. It’s been said before and I will say it again – If you can’t buy four starters for 200 million dollars you shouldn’t win the World Series (and its not like their relief depth was the team’s saving grace either). The Yankees should be sending one of their nicest bottles of wine to whoever schedules the playoffs, because if CC Sabathia isn’t pitching every third game, I think this year’s parade might not go through Manhattan. Secondly, Yankee baseball was particularly frustrating, namely their frequent mound visits and time taken in between pitches. If you want to grind out at bats and take pitches, all the power to you, but for God’s sake stop making a game that is already as slow as erosion even slower. This year’s Yankees were especially bad at over frequently visiting the mound. During game 4 there was one middle inning where Jorge Posada wasn’t even giving out signs, just walking out after every pitch to talk over what the next pitch would be.


Lastly, what irks me the most about the Yankees winning this year was how beatable they looked at certain points. The Angels were a better overall team, but played themselves out of the playoffs with mental errors and their own nervousness. The Phillies took game 1, dominated A.J. Burnett in game 5 and if Brad Lidge doesn’t walk Johnny Damon (I haven’t seen anyone steal two bases on one pitch since I played mosquito) in the ninth inning of game 4, this could be an entirely different series. Throughout the playoffs, the Yankees didn’t hit the way they are capable of. Nick Swisher, Robinson Cano, Mark Teixeria and Melky Cabrerra all failed to contribute and the Yankees suspect bullpen (and back of the rotation) was not exploited to its full extent. So despite my hatred for the Yankees and my belief that they shouldn’t of taken it all this year, no team stepped up and beat them and that is something I can’t argue with, even if that leaves me grumbling to myself all winter.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

ALCS Preview

The Yankees have been the odds on favorite to win the World Series since before the playoffs began, and to solidify their status as favorites, they made quick and easy work of the Minnesota Twins during the first round. While the Angels were historically unable to handle the Red Sox in the playoffs, this year they exercised their demons by sweeping the Bosox with a dramatic come from behind victory at Fenway Park. There are good reasons to believe that the Yankees are still the odds on favorite to win. Their lineup is one of the most prolific lineups in recent memory and by far the most dangerous lineup in the playoffs. On top of this, much is being made of Alex Rodriguez’s recent post season awakening. There is no letting up with the Yankees offence – they had at least 8 players hit over 20 home runs this year in the regular season. On the mound, this years edition of the Yankees is also the best that it has been in the last few years – CC Sabathia and AJ Burnett are a formidable one two punch at the top of the rotation, and the bullpen is significantly deeper than it has been in the past with Joba Chamberlin and Phil Hughes bridging the gap to Rivera in the ninth. While this Yankee team is good, the Angels are a far better team than Minnesota and a potential upset is not out of the question. While Sabathia and Burnett (depending on which Burnett shows up to pitch) are possibly the two best starters in the series, I believe the Angels starters one through four are better than the Yankees starters. The Angels number 3 and 4 starters (Scott Kazmir and Joe Saunders) possess a decided advantage over the Yankees Andy Pettite and Chad Gaudin. While this lack of depth wasn’t a problem for New York in a short five game series, in a best of seven LCS format, this may play a significant factor. Accompanying the Angels starting pitching depth is an offence that more potent and well rounded than Angels teams of the past. In the past the Angels offence relied to heavily on Vladimir Gurrero, but with the additions of Bobby Abreau and Tori Hunter, combined with the emergence of Kendry Morales, all Vlad has to worry about now is trying not to swing at pitches that are going to hit him in the face. The Angels also have excellent team speed thanks to Chone Figgins, Reggie Wilits and Erick Aybar. With George Posada behind the plate, the Yankees inability to contain the running game has been a problem all year long. Another bad sign for the Yankees is that in their first round match up with Boston, the Angels hitters looked very comfortable against the power arms of the Red Sox bullpen, tagging Jonathan Paplebon for four runs in the final game. The Angels offence may not be as good as the Yankees, but they are much more dangerous than the Twins team that New York contained for three games. One area where the Yankees do possess a particularly clear advantage over the Angels is in the bullpen – Brian Fuentes has not been the dominant closer Los Angeles had hoped for when they signed him and with Chamberlin, Hughes and Rivera in the Yankee pen, they can shorten a game to seven innings when they are leading. Here is my prediction for the series: Kate Hudson dumps A-Rod, AJ Burnett and George Posada get in a fight, Scott Boras demands that Mark Tiexeria be traded mid series, Joba Chamberlin gets another DUI, Andy Pettite starts doing steroids again, no matter who is winning Erick Aybar smiles the whole time and the Angels win in seven.

Monday, October 5, 2009

The End of the Riccardi Era

Over the weekend, Paul Beeston did what many Blue Jays fans wanted done a long time ago. J.P Riccardi’s record as an executive was a spotty one at best. Many have noted his lackluster draft record, his knack for signing players to bloated contracts that ended up biting the Jays in the ass and his inability to build a team that got passed the Yankees and Red Sox (even though the Rays did). But lets not give him shit because he passed on Troy Tulowtizski, traded away Michael Young, or gave long term contracts to Frank Thomas, Cory Koskie, BJ Ryan and Alex Rios. Let’s give him shit because he never knew how to handle being the front office voice for a major league team. It started when he traded Shannon Stewart to the Minnesota Twins the year Riccardi arrived in Toronto. Stewart complained that Riccardi handled the situation with little class, and since that day it seems that the most captivating stories around the Blue Jays (coincidentally because Riccardi hasn’t been able to build a team that can captivate us with their performance) have been J.P.’s blunders and mishaps. Remember when he sent Orlando Hudson to the minors for calling him a smooth pimp? Or when he publicly criticized Adam Dunn (and then lied about apologizing)? When Carlos Tosca was fired, many players were apparently forbidden from saying goodbye to him. What the hell J.P.? This summers handling of the Roy Halladay trade solidified the fact that J.P just couldn’t get it right when it came to handling the media pressures associated with being a general manager. But the one thing that chapped my ass most of all through the Riccardi years was J.P’s constant complaining about how hard it was to compete in the AL East with the Yankees and Red Sox. For eight years, he told Jays fans that they didn’t have a chance, always pointing to next year (and that was if things fell the right way). He essentially told us not to bother watching the team he put together. As badly as I want to be a major league general manager, sadly I am not. This means that I can look past Riccardi’s failings in terms of player development, free agent singings and the lack of on field results – I would probably do a worse job than him. But what I can’t look past is all the times he made Jays fans feel shitty about being Jays fans, by saying things that made the franchise look bad and by telling us we didn’t have a chance in hell. Here’s to hoping he handles his words with more care at his next job.

Monday, September 21, 2009

The MLB(ehave) Team

Watching baseball on its own merits is great, but sometimes we get to enjoy a little extra entertainment, showmanship and drama as some players just can’t help but lose it. Here are my selections for the all-bad behavior team.

C – AJ Pierzynski: The only player who could get punched in the face by Michael Barrett and still not garner very much sympathy.
1B – Prince Fielder: Not only has he fought with members of his own team (Manny Parra) in the dugout, he waited outside the Dodgers clubhouse after getting beaned. Prince means business.
2B – Roberto Alomar: Class act on the Jays, not so much on the Orioles; needs to keep spit on the ground where it belongs.
SS – Alex Rodriguez: When he is not spending time in Toronto gentleman’s clubs, he is busy yelling at Blue Jays infielders and trying to knock the ball out of first baseman’s hands.
3B – Scott Rolen: Seemed like a good guy in Toronto, but you would have to pretty much punch a baby in the face to piss off Terry Francona.
OF – Milton Bradley: This board game enthusiast is the only player I have ever heard of tearing a his ACL while yelling at an umpire.
OF – Paul O’Neil: My first experience of a professional athlete throwing temper tantrum was seeing the right fielder lose it back in the early 90s.
OF – Carl Everett, responsible for more ruined baseball equipment than any other major league player in the 90s. His interviews are also entertaining, as he claims that dinosaurs never existed; the bones were placed there by God.
P – Roger Clements: This professional baseball player mistook a broken bat for a baseball and THAT is why he threw it at Mike Piazza. Luckily more baseball players don’t mistake shattered bats for balls.
P – Pedro Martinez: Remember when he threw Don Zimmer to the ground in that Yankees/Red Sox brawl? If you’re 45 years older than Pedro, don’t mess with him.
Manager – Lou Pinella: oh yeah.

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Why I Want Boston to Win The Wild Card

With only a few weeks left in the regular season, the playoff picture has been all but set minus two key races. In the NL, the G-men and the Rockies are battling it to see who gets to lose to the Cardinals in the NLDS and in AL, the Wildcard is also still up for grabs. The good news for Jays fans is that we are only 13 or 14 games back. But if you choose not to suspend rational belief and suggest the Jays will make the playoffs, the AL race has come down to the big bad Red Sox and the fresh faced Texas Rangers. And while many people are rooting for underdog Texas to keep this years playoffs interesting, I am rooting for Goliath. This is because in baseball I root for two things - for the Blue Jays and against the Yankees. Texas may be new and interesting, but when it comes down to a playoff series, I want the Red Sox in because the have the best chance at taking down the juggernaut Yankees. This year despite many injuries (Dice-k, JD "I Don't Even Like Baseball" Drew) and subpar preformances (from David Ortiz, John Smoltz, Jason Varitek and even Josh Beckett to some extent) the Red Sox are still in a better position to beat New York. Their pitching is still far better than the Rangers: In the playoffs no one dials it up like Beckett, Jon Lester is emerging as a second ace, and Dice-K is slated to return soon. The bullpen is also much improved with the addition of set up man Billy Wagner as when he is on, can effectively shorten a game to seven innings Offensively, they have enough veterans to steady the ship in high pressure playoff situations and enough younger players (Ellsbury, Pedroia, Youk) to prevent an October fade. While wanting the Yankees out may seem like a selfish personal reason for wanting the BoSox in the playoffs, we will all win because it will lead to better better playoff baseball. As much as I hate them, New York is looking like the best team in the AL right so I want the team with the best chance at taking them down. So until the Yankees are golfing its Go Red Sox and root for the underdog later.