Monday, January 30, 2012

$214 Million Dollars of Upgrades



With almost a week passing since Prince Fielder singed with the Detroit Tigers, I thought I would do the disservice of writing another blog post about the hefty slugger’s move to the Motor City. While much has already been made about the Tigers’ new 500 pound corner infield, I think it’s important to remember that even though Mike Ilitch’s heart was in the right place, spending big money on Prince Fielder isn’t necessarily the best path to remaining competitive and winning championships for the Tigers given their current roster.

Mike Ilitch spent his hard earned pizza empire millions (of which I have personally contributed via the $5 Hot n’ Ready) with the hope that his Detroit Tigers are able to win a championship in the next few years. While it’s easy to appreciate an owner spending big money to bring home a World Series, I’m not sure if the Tigers’ play for Prince was the best way to do so. Defensively, there are major questions about Miguel Cabrera playing anywhere in the field, be it third base, left field or first base. There are bigger questions if Fielder, another subpar defender, is also starting somewhere other than designated hitter. The team’s pitching staff also has some issues of its own. Can Doug Fister replicate his 2011 outside of Safeco Field? What kind of season can erratic but talented Max Scherzer have? Both Justin Verlander and Jose Valverde had career years in 2011, but what will happen if they regress (which is almost guaranteed in Valverde’s case) to their career norms? Will signing Octavio Dotel really improve the bullpen? On the offensive side of things, can Austin Jackson, Delmon Young and whoever is playing 2B and 3B get on base and be league average offensive players? And what if, as some writers have suggested (like Getting Blanked’s Travis Reitsma), that Fielder merely replaces the production of Victor Martinez, instead of improving on it?

There are a lot of ways to spend $214 million dollars (or in my case, 214 dollars), and given how the Tigers roster is currently constructed, the money may have been better used to upgrade several problem areas. Would the Tigers not have looked better signing Jose Reyes and moving Jhonny Peralta to third base? What if they traded a package of players (like prospect Jacob Turner) for a young starter like Michael Pineda, Mat Latos or Gio Gonzalez? They could have upgraded their outfield by trading for Carlos Quentin. If they didn’t want to part with prospects they could have gone after CJ Wilson or Edwin Jackson and they could have shored up the bullpen by signing Ryan Madson, a far superior reliever to Jose Valverde, and one who ended up taking a one year $8.5 million dollar deal. Based on the contracts Wilson, Reyes and Madson signed this offseason, the Tigers could have inked all three (they posted a combined WAR of 13.8 according to Fangraphs) for less money than it cost to sign Prince Fielder (5.5 WAR).

This is not to say any of the players mentioned above wanted to sign with the Tigers, or that they don’t come with risks and problems of their own. It is meant to say that if winning now was indeed priority number one for Detroit this offseason, there were options other than Fielder that should have been examined. Options that may have been more effective and efficient than giving out the fourth largest contract in baseball history to a player with question marks of his own (defence, how he will age given his weight). Especially knowing the Tigers’ roster already has a surplus of viable 1B and DH options.

Having an owner that is committed to winning is a great thing and signing Prince Fielder is certainly symbolic of that commitment. But for a Tigers’ team that has many holes to fill and $214 million dollars to fill them, signing Fielder may not have been the best way to deploy these resources.

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